Quantitative intelligence · AI assistant · NGX · FGN · FX
NGX-licensed direct feedLive walk-forward since 2026-03-0233 stocks · 9 factors · daily refresh

The quantitative intelligence layer for Nigerian capital markets.

33 NGX names scored daily on 9 factors. A model-versioned macro expectations engine for CPI and MPR. An AI assistant that answers in plain English, backed by real data. Built for analysts, PMs, and pension desks who need more than a Bloomberg widget.

MODEL v9.2 · LAST UPDATED LOADING· ASI
Portfolio Backtest · Walk-ForwardINTERNALLY VALIDATED · VERSION-CONTROLLED

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Cumulative return
Sharpe ratio
Max drawdown
Live Alpha Score — Top 5 (of 33)MODEL v9.2

9-factor equity model. 6 macro overlays.

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12M
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What we measure

9 equity factors. 6 macro overlays. One alpha score per stock, per day.

Every ticker in the NGX coverage universe is scored daily on a transparent factor stack, then adjusted for Nigerian regime conditions — foreign flows, FX direction, carry, and macro state. Methodology is versioned and published.

F1
Momentum
12-1 month price momentum, volatility-scaled, sector-neutralized.
F2
Relative Strength
Cross-sectional ranking vs the 33-name universe over 3/6/12 month windows.
F3
Value
Composite of P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA and dividend yield, winsorized by sector.
F4
Quality
ROE, ROIC, earnings stability, gross margin trend, leverage.
F5
Liquidity
ADV, bid-ask, deal count, turnover — capacity and rank dampening.
F6
Volatility
Realized and idiosyncratic vol; low-vol tilt.
F7
Mean Reversion
Short-window reversal signal, capped to avoid liquidity traps.
OVERLAYS
6 macro layers
Carry · FX direction · MIE (macro intelligence engine) · PAI (port activity index) · Regime (bull/bear) · Seasonal.
Data stack

Built on primary Nigerian sources. Not a wrapper around a data vendor.

We ingest directly from NGX, CBN, DMO, and NBS, plus a global price feed via EODHD and proprietary intelligence scraping. Corporate actions, curve reconstruction, and FX regime handling are built in-house.

NGX
Prices · Filings
CBN
MPC · NAFEM · Reserves
DMO
NTB · FGN Auctions
NBS
CPI · GDP
EODHD+
Global · Intelligence
AI Assistant

Ask anything about NGX. Get answers backed by real data.

NairAlpha AI is trained on our proprietary factor scores, macro models, and live market data — not generic financial information. Ask in plain English. Get quantitative answers with the depth of a research desk.

Generic AI chatbots

“Nigerian bank stocks may be undervalued based on general market conditions. Consider consulting a financial advisor for specific recommendations.”

NO LIVE DATA · NO FACTOR SCORES · NO CONVICTION SIGNALS
NairAlpha AI

“Zenith Bank scores 82/100 alpha with HIGH CONVICTION — F3 Value at 78 (P/E 3.8x vs sector 4.6x), F4 Quality at 81 (ROE 24.3%, stable margins). 12M return +34.2%. The FPI overlay shows net foreign buying in banking this month.”

LIVE FACTOR SCORES · 7 SIGNALS · MACRO OVERLAYS · STRESS MODELS
Q

Which NGX banks have grown EPS consistently but are still undervalued?

Fundamental Analysis
AI
Illustrative example · not current model output

Among NGX banks, names with consistent multi-period EPS growth (F4 Quality > 75) AND trading at a discount to the banking sector median P/E (F3 Value > 70) typically include Zenith Bank (model label: HIGH CONVICTION) and GTCO (model label: OVERWEIGHT). Live alpha scores and labels update at each rebalance — see the Conviction Grid for the current state. MODEL OUTPUT — NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.

Model output — Not investment advice
Q

What happens to my portfolio if the naira depreciates 30%?

Stress Testing
AI
Illustrative example · not current model output

Stress scenario sensitivity (illustrative anchor: a 30% NAFEM depreciation from the prevailing rate). For a hypothetical portfolio of the top conviction names, modelled per-ticker sensitivity might read: MTNN around -18.7% (USD-denominated cost exposure), DANGCEM around +2.1% (export revenue uplift), SEPLAT and OANDO with positive FX beta. The regime model classifies a 30% depreciation as HIGH STRESS. The Stress Tests panel computes the same sensitivity live against your actual exposures. No hedge or rotation is recommended; output is descriptive, not advisory. MODEL OUTPUT — NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.

Model output — Not investment advice
Q

What's the macro outlook for the next MPC meeting?

Macro Intelligence
AI
Illustrative example · not current model output

The MPR path model produces a probability distribution across HOLD / CUT / HIKE outcomes for each MPC meeting, anchored on a modified Taylor Rule + 6 signal channels (inflation gap, energy shock, FX stability, momentum, reserves, Cardoso inertia). The CPI expectations engine separately produces 3M / 6M / 12M point estimates with confidence bands. Current model outputs for the next meeting live in the Macro tab. MODEL OUTPUT — NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.

Model output — Not investment advice

Available on all tiers including Free. No card required.

Pricing

Three tiers. Start free. Upgrade when the signal pays for itself.

Investor is ₦75,000/mo for active investors and analysts. Institutional is a custom contract for asset managers, pension funds, and DFIs that need API access, SLA, and custom factor weights.

Free
₦0/mo
Core market intelligence, AI assistant, and daily signals.
  • AI market assistant — 10 queries/day
  • End-of-day ASI + Top 10 stock rankings
  • 3 daily signals · basic screener
  • Retail (Simple) dashboard mode
Investor
₦75,000/mo
Full platform for active investors & analysts. 14-day free trial.
  • Unlimited AI + factor scores + macro models
  • All 33 stock rankings · 7 factors · overlays
  • Conviction Grid · Factor Lab · Model Validation
  • Macro Expectations Engine (CPI/MPR)
  • FX Direction · FPI Flow Monitor
  • 5 portfolios · intelligence briefs · MIE
Institutional
Custom
For funds, PFAs, asset managers, and DFIs.
  • AI with stress testing + custom scenario modelling
  • REST API · 10K req/day · custom factor weights
  • Weekly research reports (PDF) · stress scenarios
  • Dedicated account manager · SLA 99.5%
  • White-label options · regulatory compliance pack

Built for the desks that can't wait for a weekly PDF.

NairAlpha Institutional gives your analysts, PMs, and risk team direct access to the same factor stack and macro engine that powers the dashboard — through an authenticated REST API, with custom factor weights, dedicated support, and an SLA. We run design-partner pilots with three allocators at a time.

Talk to sales →
REST API · 10K req/day
Custom factor weights + IC calibration
Weekly research PDFs
Stress-test scenarios (custom)
Regulatory compliance pack
White-label available
99.5% uptime SLA
Dedicated account manager